Scientists at the University of California, San Diego (UCSD) have developed new insight into a formula that helped British cryptanalysts crack the German Enigma code in World War II.

Beginning pornography use is associated with a substantial increase in the probability of divorce for married Americans, and this increase is especially large for women, finds a new study.

This paper presents an axiomatic approach to the problem of aggregating expert assessments of an event's probability into some group probability assessment. A multiplicative formula is derived.

Medical Care, Vol. 45, No. 10, Supplement 2: Comparative Effectiveness and Safety: Emerging Methods (Oct., 2007), pp. S103-S107 (5 pages) Inverse probability-weighted estimation is a powerful tool for ...