The rise in prediction markets raises critical questions for the future of democracy. In order to ensure that trust and ...
To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...
Prediction markets have moved from a niche academic concept into one of the fastest-growing areas of modern market infrastructure. Once confined to election forecasting and small experimental ...
Back to the Future filmmaker Robert Zemeckis used the franchise to make several predictions about future scientific advancements. With the first Back to the Future movie returning to theaters this ...
When we set our expectations and operate based on the sequence of events that unfolded the last time a similar situation has occurred, we surrender to history.
Prediction market platform Kalshi is surging so much in Trump's second term, that it's prompted something of an arms race: Robinhood, Coinbase, FanDuel and DraftKings have all announced rival services ...